Hurricane Kristy Forecast Advisory Number 10

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 24 2024 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 240230 TCMEP2 HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 0300 UTC THU OCT 24 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 117.2W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 928 MB EYE DIAMETER 5 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 117.2W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 116.4W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.2N 119.6W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.6N 122.3W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.5N 124.9W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.9N 127.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.7N 129.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.5N 130.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 21.7N 132.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.5N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 117.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Oct 24, 2024 - 01:00

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 24 2024


000
WTPZ22 KNHC 240230
TCMEP2

HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122024
0300 UTC THU OCT 24 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 117.2W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  928 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 117.2W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 116.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.2N 119.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.6N 122.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.5N 124.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.9N 127.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.7N 129.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.5N 130.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 21.7N 132.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.5N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 117.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=