Hurricane Kristy Forecast Advisory Number 16
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 25 2024 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 251437 TCMEP2 HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 1500 UTC FRI OCT 25 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 124.8W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 124.8W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 124.3W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.0N 126.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.8N 127.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.8N 128.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.4N 129.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 30SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.0N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 22.4N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 124.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 25 2024
000 WTPZ22 KNHC 251437 TCMEP2 HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 1500 UTC FRI OCT 25 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 124.8W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 124.8W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 124.3W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.0N 126.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.8N 127.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.8N 128.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.4N 129.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 30SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.0N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 22.4N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 124.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
