Hurricane Kristy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 24 2024 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 241432 PWSEP2 HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 1500 UTC THU OCT 24 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 125W 34 3 93(96) 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 15N 125W 50 X 73(73) 6(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) 15N 125W 64 X 38(38) 9(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) 20N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 40(43) 40(83) X(83) X(83) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 37(48) X(48) X(48) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) X(21) X(21) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER KELLY/B.ADAMS
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 24 2024
000
FOPZ12 KNHC 241432
PWSEP2
HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024
1500 UTC THU OCT 24 2024
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 120W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 125W 34 3 93(96) 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
15N 125W 50 X 73(73) 6(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
15N 125W 64 X 38(38) 9(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
20N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13)
15N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
20N 130W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 40(43) 40(83) X(83) X(83)
20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 37(48) X(48) X(48)
20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) X(21) X(21)
25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12)
20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/B.ADAMS
