Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 31
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 100241 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 49.3W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 25SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..135NE 90SE 135SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 49.3W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 49.0W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.3N 49.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.4N 50.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.0N 50.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.4N 48.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.7N 45.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 33.0N 41.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 70SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 36.0N 31.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 37.1N 21.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 49.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
000 WTNT23 KNHC 100241 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 49.3W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 25SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..135NE 90SE 135SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 49.3W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 49.0W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.3N 49.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.4N 50.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.0N 50.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.4N 48.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.7N 45.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 33.0N 41.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 70SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 36.0N 31.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 37.1N 21.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 49.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
