Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 33

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 101432 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 50.4W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 25SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 50.4W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 50.2W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.0N 50.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.7N 50.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.1N 48.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.8N 45.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 33.3N 41.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 35.2N 35.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 70SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 36.6N 25.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 70SE 60SW 30NW. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 50.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN

Oct 10, 2024 - 13:00
Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 33
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

000
WTNT23 KNHC 101432
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  50.4W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  50.4W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  50.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.0N  50.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.7N  50.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.1N  48.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.8N  45.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 33.3N  41.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 35.2N  35.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE  70SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 36.6N  25.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N  50.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN