Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 20

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 120 WTNT24 KNHC 100247 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 82.0W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 170SE 110SW 220NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 480SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 82.0W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 82.7W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.7N 80.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 170SE 110SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.2N 76.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 160SE 130SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.3N 73.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 140SE 130SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.0N 71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.0N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N 65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 31.6N 59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 82.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 10/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

Oct 10, 2024 - 00:00
Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 20
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

120 
WTNT24 KNHC 100247
TCMAT4
 
HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  82.0W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 170SE 110SW 220NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 480SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  82.0W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  82.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.7N  80.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 170SE 110SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.2N  76.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 160SE 130SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.3N  73.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 130SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.0N  71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE  90SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.0N  68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N  65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 31.6N  59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N  82.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 10/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH