Hurricane Milton Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19
Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 09 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 092056 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 2100 UTC WED OCT 09 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLESTON SC 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 23 8(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) WAYCROSS GA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 38 12(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) JACKSONVILLE 34 18 8(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) GAINESVILLE FL 34 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) DAYTONA BEACH 34 94 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 50 4 17(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 50 31 7(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ORLANDO FL 50 48 33(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ORLANDO FL 64 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 95 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 50 16 67(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) COCOA BEACH FL 64 1 26(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) PATRICK AFB 34 96 4(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 50 17 66(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) PATRICK AFB 64 1 27(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) FT PIERCE FL 34 86 8(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) FT PIERCE FL 50 6 17(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) FT PIERCE FL 64 1 2( 3) X
Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 09 2024
000
FONT14 KNHC 092056
PWSAT4
HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
2100 UTC WED OCT 09 2024
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAVANNAH GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 23 8(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
WAYCROSS GA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 38 12(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
JACKSONVILLE 34 18 8(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 94 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 4 17(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 50 31 7(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 48 33(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
ORLANDO FL 64 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 95 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 16 67(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 1 26(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
PATRICK AFB 34 96 4(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 50 17 66(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
PATRICK AFB 64 1 27(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
FT PIERCE FL 34 86 8(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
FT PIERCE FL 50 6 17(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
FT PIERCE FL 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 69 5(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
W PALM BEACH 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 52 2(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
MIAMI FL 34 12 1(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 6 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MARATHON FL 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
KEY WEST FL 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NAPLES FL 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT MYERS FL 50 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 64 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 50 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 64 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
APALACHICOLA 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ALBANY GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 16 20(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ANDROS 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
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FORECASTER BERG
