Hurricane Milton Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 100248 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 36 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) WAYCROSS GA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 60 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) JACKSONVILLE 34 31 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ORLANDO FL 50 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 50 88 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) COCOA BEACH FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 50 88 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) PATRICK AFB 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(9
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
000
FONT14 KNHC 100248
PWSAT4
HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024
0300 UTC THU OCT 10 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHARLESTON SC 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAVANNAH GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 36 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
WAYCROSS GA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 60 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
JACKSONVILLE 34 31 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 88 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 50 88 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
PATRICK AFB 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 50 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 67 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
MIAMI FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MARATHON FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KEY WEST FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
APALACHICOLA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 29 6(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 5 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ANDROS 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
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FORECASTER PASCH
