Hurricane Oscar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 000 FONT11 KNHC 200844 PWSAT1 HURRICANE OSCAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 0900 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OSCAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ANDROS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GREAT EXUMA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 6(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17) SAN SALVADOR 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) MAYAGUANA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GRAND TURK 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 5 41(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTEGO BAY 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGSTON 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024
000
FONT11 KNHC 200844
PWSAT1
HURRICANE OSCAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024
0900 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OSCAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ANDROS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GREAT EXUMA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 6(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17)
SAN SALVADOR 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14)
MAYAGUANA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GRAND TURK 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 5 41(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGSTON 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
