Hurricane Rafael Forecast Advisory Number 18

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 080252 TCMAT3 HURRICANE RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024 0300 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 87.1W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 105SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 87.1W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 86.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.7N 88.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.8N 89.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.1N 91.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.2N 91.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.3N 92.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.9N 92.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.7N 93.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 30SW 40NW. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 22.0N 93.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 87.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Nov 7, 2024 - 22:00
Hurricane Rafael Forecast Advisory Number 18
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024

000
WTNT23 KNHC 080252
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182024
0300 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  87.1W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 105SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  87.1W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  86.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.7N  88.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.8N  89.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.1N  91.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.2N  91.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.3N  92.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.9N  92.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.7N  93.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  30SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 22.0N  93.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N  87.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN