Poll shows declining Ukrainian resolve for prolonged war effort

A comprehensive poll of 989 Ukrainians indicates that 69% are prepared for a relatively long-term war, combining those ready for indefinite duration with those expecting a one-year timeline.

Nov 5, 2024 - 00:00
Poll shows declining Ukrainian resolve for prolonged war effort

ukrainians

The share of Ukrainians willing to endure the war “as long as necessary” has dropped to 63%, reports the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS).

This figure was consistently higher—over 70%—from the beginning of the full-scale invasion until February 2024.

KIIS sociologists said that between February and October 2024, the institute recorded for the first time a decrease in the share of those ready to endure the war as long as necessary.

The data shows a slight increase in those expecting a one-year timeline, from 3% to 6%. Some 69% of Ukrainians are prepared for a relatively long-term war.

According to KIIS, the percentage of respondents indicating a shorter timeframe of several months to half a year remained stable at 19%, compared to 21% in February 2024.

The number of people who were unable to answer rose from 4% to 12%. The survey reflects Ukrainians’ growing overall uncertainty about the future.

The poll reveals divided opinions regarding Russia’s resilience: 47% of Ukrainians believe Russia has sufficient resources for a prolonged war, while 46% think Russian resources are depleting.

The telephone survey was conducted between 20 September and 3 October 2024 across government-controlled territories of Ukraine, with 989 respondents participating.

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