Putin’s nuclear threats proven hollow as Ukraine invades Russia, expert says

Ukraine's incursion into Russia exposes Putin's nuclear bluff, urging Western leaders to support Ukraine's offensive without fear of escalation, a retired UK army officer says.

Aug 16, 2024 - 07:31
Putin’s nuclear threats proven hollow as Ukraine invades Russia, expert says

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In an op-ed for The Telegraph, Colonel Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, a former British Army officer and a chemical weapons expert, argues that Ukraine’s incursion into Russian territory has exposed Vladimir Putin’s nuclear threats as a bluff.

Ukraine’s incursion into Russia’s Kursk Oblast started on 6 August and the Ukrainian forces have been broadening their bridgehead for over a week, with Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi earlier claiming over 1,000 square kilometers of territory inside Russia had been seized.

Despite Putin’s previous warnings of “unimaginably catastrophic consequences” for interference with Russia’s “Special Military Operation” – i.e. the ongoing invasion of Ukraine – there has been no nuclear retaliation from Moscow in response to Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk Oblast, de Bretton-Gordon notes.

President Putin’s ‘red lines’ mean nothing, and it is time our leaders in this country and across the West realised this,” he says.

De Bretton-Gordon notes that the US has promised severe consequences if Russia were to use nuclear weapons, and that China would not condone such actions. Meanwhile, “Putin has done nothing since the Ukrainians made their move. That has to be at least in part because he doesn’t have any nuclear option which would magically solve his current problem: it would hardly help him to drop a nuke on Russian territory, after all.”

The author argues that this incursion has left Moscow struggling to respond effectively with non-nuclear means, without weakening its positions elsewhere in Ukraine.

The US, the UK, and France continue to restrict Ukraine from using the long-range missiles they supply against targets deep within Russia. De Bretton-Gordon urges the West to remove such restrictions:

“It must be made clear, even to the most timid leaders in Europe, that the nuclear option is not actually available to Putin. The West both can and should remove the shackles it has put on Ukraine and allow that bold nation to fight with its hands free, using its Western weaponry to its full range and capability,” Hamish de Bretton-Gordon wrote.

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