Russian forces lack resources for major Zaporizhzhia offensive, Ukraine’s military says

Spokesman Bratchuk also said that a Russian attempt to cross the Dnipro near Kherson would be suicidal.

Dec 6, 2024 - 12:00
Russian forces lack resources for major Zaporizhzhia offensive, Ukraine’s military says

russian forces lack resources major zaporizhzhia offensive ukraine's military says serhii bratchuk братчук сергій_facebook russians conduct only small-scale operations southern ukraine focusing efforts donetsk oblast currently needed large-scale operation while

Russian forces currently lack the resources needed for a large-scale offensive operation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, while attempting to seize control of Dnipro River islands near Kherson, according to Serhii Bratchuk, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Volunteer Army South, who spoke on Ukrainian Radio on 5 December.

Earlier reports indicated that due to the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ Kursk operation initiated in August, Russia abandoned plans for an offensive on Zaporizhzhia and had to redeploy one of its most combat-ready units from Zaporizhzhia to Russia.

Bratchuk noted that Russia is conducting an extensive information campaign regarding potential offensives in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblast, particularly through social media.

“They are investing significant effort in this area and exaggerating events in these locations, including regional centers like Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, where such events are not actually occurring,” Bratchuk said.

Zaporizhzhia

The military spokesperson noted Russian movements in Robotyne, Orikhiv, and Huliaipole directions within Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with intense fighting ongoing near Velyka Novosilka in nearby Donetsk Oblast, near the tri-border point of three regions of Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Donetsk. Bratchuk stated that Ukrainian forces have achieved a tactical advantage by regaining control of one settlement near Velyka Novosilka.

Situation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Map: ISW

The Russian army’s current operations in the region are limited to small assault groups rather than mechanized operations, with their primary focus on the Velyka Novosilka and Vremivka sectors, he says.

According to Bratchuk, the main threat to Zaporizhzhia city remains aerial attacks with guided bombs, missiles, and kamikaze drones, aimed at terrorizing civilians. He emphasized that the city’s defenses include first, second, and third lines, with Ukrainian forces maintaining full control of the situation.

 “Currently, the enemy lacks resources to launch a large-scale offensive in the region, let alone against the city. The main threat to Zaporizhzhia remains aerial attacks with bombs, missiles, and kamikaze drones, aimed at terrorizing civilians,” Bratchuk emphasized.

Situation in eastern Zaporizhzhia Oblast and southern Donetsk Oblast. Map: ISW

Kherson

Recently, Oleksandr Prokudin, head of the Kherson Regional Military Administration, told FT that Russian forces have assembled 300 boats near Kherson in what appeared to be preparation for potential river crossing operations.

Crossing the Dnipro would be suicidal for the enemy,” Bratchuk commented on this, noting that Ukrainian forces maintain complete fire control over potential crossing points along the nearly 200-kilometer stretch of the river.

He says the Russia’s current focus in the area is on attempting to control Dnipro islands to expand their “grey zone” and terrorize Kherson and nearby communities.

Situation in Kherson Oblast. Map: ISW

Related:

You could close this page. Or you could join our community and help us produce more materials like this.  We keep our reporting open and accessible to everyone because we believe in the power of free information. This is why our small, cost-effective team depends on the support of readers like you to bring deliver timely news, quality analysis, and on-the-ground reports about Russia's war against Ukraine and Ukraine's struggle to build a democratic society. A little bit goes a long way: for as little as the cost of one cup of coffee a month, you can help build bridges between Ukraine and the rest of the world, plus become a co-creator and vote for topics we should cover next. Become a patron or see other ways to support. Become a Patron!