Stunning New Poll Shows Trump Widening Lead Among Arab Americans

A new poll shows Donald Trump with a small lead over Kamala Harris among Arab American voters. Arab News and YouGov’s poll showed 45 percent of respondents support Donald Trump as opposed to 43 percent for Kamala Harris. Four percent said they would vote for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 6 percent said they were undecided, and 2 percent declined to answer. The new poll has a larger gap than another survey from the Arab American Institute earlier this month, which gave Trump a 42 to 41 percent advantage. Arab Americans make up a substantive population in Michigan, with more than 300,000 of the state’s residents claiming to have Middle Eastern or North African ancestry. In 2020, the community played a substantial role in delivering Michigan to Joe Biden, who won the state by 154,000 votes. In more bad news for Harris, 39 percent of respondents in the poll said they think a Trump administration would be most likely to solve the Israel-Palestine conflict, as opposed to 33 percent for Harris and 8 percent for Stein. About 46 percent of respondents said that racism and hate crimes against Arab Americans were more likely to go up if Trump was elected in November. But the fact that Trump is still leading despite this should be cause for alarm in the Harris campaign. Instead, Harris has been campaigning in Michigan with former Representative Liz Cheney, the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney.This has not gone over well in Michigan, as the state’s large Arab American population also consists of over 90,000 Iraqi Americans who remember not only the elder Cheney’s support for the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003 but also his daughter’s reputation for supporting torture and anti-Muslim bigotry. Trump quickly seized on Cheney supporting Harris, posting on Truth Social Tuesday that “if Kamala gets four more years, the Middle East will spend the next four decades going up in flames.”Michigan also boasts large Palestinian and Lebanese communities. Palestine and Lebanon are currently experiencing a brutal Israeli bombing campaign as the Biden administration continues to make no progress on a cease-fire or arms embargo. Harris didn’t do herself any favors when she said that “the first and most tragic story is October 7, and what happened that day, and then what has happened since,” seeming to diminish the massive civilian deaths in Gaza and Lebanon. More than one month ago, the Democrats held their national convention and neglected to highlight any Palestinian, Arab, or Muslim voices on the stage. It appears that the Harris campaign is continuing on the same path as Biden, and it could cost her a critical battleground state.

Oct 23, 2024 - 06:00
Stunning New Poll Shows Trump Widening Lead Among Arab Americans

A new poll shows Donald Trump with a small lead over Kamala Harris among Arab American voters.

Arab News and YouGov’s poll showed 45 percent of respondents support Donald Trump as opposed to 43 percent for Kamala Harris. Four percent said they would vote for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 6 percent said they were undecided, and 2 percent declined to answer. The new poll has a larger gap than another survey from the Arab American Institute earlier this month, which gave Trump a 42 to 41 percent advantage.

Arab Americans make up a substantive population in Michigan, with more than 300,000 of the state’s residents claiming to have Middle Eastern or North African ancestry. In 2020, the community played a substantial role in delivering Michigan to Joe Biden, who won the state by 154,000 votes. In more bad news for Harris, 39 percent of respondents in the poll said they think a Trump administration would be most likely to solve the Israel-Palestine conflict, as opposed to 33 percent for Harris and 8 percent for Stein.

About 46 percent of respondents said that racism and hate crimes against Arab Americans were more likely to go up if Trump was elected in November. But the fact that Trump is still leading despite this should be cause for alarm in the Harris campaign. Instead, Harris has been campaigning in Michigan with former Representative Liz Cheney, the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney.

This has not gone over well in Michigan, as the state’s large Arab American population also consists of over 90,000 Iraqi Americans who remember not only the elder Cheney’s support for the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003 but also his daughter’s reputation for supporting torture and anti-Muslim bigotry. Trump quickly seized on Cheney supporting Harris, posting on Truth Social Tuesday that “if Kamala gets four more years, the Middle East will spend the next four decades going up in flames.”Twitter screenshot Niall Stanage @NiallStanage: Michigan: Key swing state, highest concentration of Arab Americans in the nation. Harris: Let's campaign with Liz Cheney! Trump: (screenshot of Truth Social post)

Michigan also boasts large Palestinian and Lebanese communities. Palestine and Lebanon are currently experiencing a brutal Israeli bombing campaign as the Biden administration continues to make no progress on a cease-fire or arms embargo. Harris didn’t do herself any favors when she said that “the first and most tragic story is October 7, and what happened that day, and then what has happened since,” seeming to diminish the massive civilian deaths in Gaza and Lebanon.

More than one month ago, the Democrats held their national convention and neglected to highlight any Palestinian, Arab, or Muslim voices on the stage. It appears that the Harris campaign is continuing on the same path as Biden, and it could cost her a critical battleground state.