Sumy sees fewer Russian attacks from contested Kursk, more from Belgorod, data show

Sumy Oblast has seen a decrease in cross-border shelling from Russia's Kursk Oblast, and an increase from Belgorod. While the southern front has experienced reduced intensity, the Pokrovsk sector in Donetsk Oblast experienced a rise in Russian ground attacks, per official data.

Aug 21, 2024 - 07:13
Sumy sees fewer Russian attacks from contested Kursk, more from Belgorod, data show

sumy sees fewer russian attacks from contested kursk more belgorod data shows ukrainian soldier posing near entrance sign lyubimovka oblast russia august 2024 military kursk-1

According to a report from the Sumy Regional Military Administration, Russians continued shelling the region across the border on 19 August. The BBC Russian Service noticed that the Sumy administration’s data shows that Russian forces are shelling less from Russia’s Kursk Oblast, where Ukraine is conducting a military operation for two weeks now, and more from Belgorod Oblast.

Ukraine’s daring incursion into Russia’s Kursk Oblast, which began on 6 August, has shown initial success and now faces growing challenges, as Ukrainians consolidate the gains and expand the war zone. While the operation has reportedly diverted some Russian troops from the Donbas, Russia is maintaining heavy pressure on Pokrovsk, a town in eastern Ukraine where it was making steady advances before the incursion.

The Sumy Regional Administration detailed the attacks on several border communities. The Krasnopil community, which borders the Belgorod Oblast, saw the heaviest bombardment, with 79 mortar strikes, 48 artillery shells, 8 rocket attacks from multiple launch rocket systems, 8 unguided air-to-ground missile strikes, and 4 FPV drone attacks.

Kursk incursion as of 19 August 2024. Map: ISW.

The Velykopysarivska community, also bordering Belgorod, faced intense shelling, with 23 mortar strikes, 18 artillery shells, one glide bomb, 9 rocket attacks from helicopters, and 4 drone-dropped munitions.

In comparison, other communities like Hlukhiv and Seredyno-Buda saw fewer attacks, with 6 and 10 FPV drone strikes respectively, as well as some mortar and air strikes.

Regarding the southern front, Dmytro Likhovii, a representative of the Tavria Operative Strategic Grouping of Forces, stated in a televised commentary that the intensity of hostilities has decreased in the area.

Compared to last week, the intensity of hostilities has decreased. In Zaporizhzhia Oblast, on the Orikhiv and Huliaypole directions, there have been no combat clashes for the third day,” Likhovy said.

Map: ISW.

Over the past three days, the number of attacks in eastern Ukrainian Donetsk’s Pokrovsk sector has increased, while other Donetsk sectors have seen relatively consistent numbers, as deduced from the General Staff’s morning situational reports. In the Pokrovsk direction, 19 August saw 63 attacks, compared to 45-46 on the two previous days.

On 18 August, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy revealed for the first time that the military incursion into Russia’s Kursk Oblast aims to create a buffer zone to prevent further attacks by Moscow across the border.

Another goal of the incursion is to divert Russian forces from other fronts, where they maintain incremental gains through numerical superiority. Various reports suggest that Russia is attempting to deploy more conscripts from across the country to Kursk, with only a limited number of troops being redirected from active battle zones inside Ukraine to avoid compromising its offensive potential in key areas, where it gains ground through mass suicidal frontal assaults.

The Sumy Administrations’s stats on Russian attacks in the region’s border areas suggest that Ukraine’s plan to create a buffer zone within Russia to protect its border regions is feasible. Moreover, the decreased military activity in the south indicates that Russia may be transferring forces from the south to Kursk, while the Donetsk grouping likely remains intact, aligning with Russia’s ongoing focus on capturing the remaining parts of Donetsk Oblast.

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