Tropical Storm Lane Forecast Advisory Number 4

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 021434 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132024 1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 130.1W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 130.1W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 129.8W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 11.3N 131.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 11.3N 132.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 11.4N 133.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 11.4N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 11.5N 136.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 11.5N 137.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 130.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY

Nov 2, 2024 - 12:00
Tropical Storm Lane Forecast Advisory Number 4
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 021434
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132024
1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 130.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 130.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 129.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 11.3N 131.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 11.3N 132.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 11.4N 133.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 11.4N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 11.5N 136.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 11.5N 137.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 130.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY